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Contact Information:
Department of Economics
Emory University
1602 Fishburne Dr.
Atlanta, GA 30322-2240

Office: 319 Rich Memorial Buildg
Phone: (404) 727-8808
Fax: (404) 727-4639
Email: tmolodt@emory.edu
Web-page: http://userwww.service.emory.edu/~tmolodt/

Research Interests:

International Macroeconomics, International Finance, Forecasting, Time Series Econometrics

Published Papers:

“Taylor Rules and The Euro”, with Alex Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy and David Papell, forthcoming, Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, 2011

“Taylor Rules with Real-Time Data: A Tale of Two Countries and One Exchange Rate”, with Alex Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy and David Papell, Journal of Monetary Economics 55, 2008, pp.S63-S79

“Out-of-Sample Exchange Rate Predictability with Taylor Rule Fundamentals”, with David Papell, Journal of International Economics 77, 2009, pp.167-180

Working Papers:

“Phoenix Taylor Rule Exchange Rate Forecasting during the Financial Crisis", with David Papell, 2011

“Stock Return Predictability and the Taylor Rule”, with Lei Jiang, 2011

“Real-Time Exchange Rate Predictability with Taylor Rule Fundamentals”, 2011

“Macroeconomic Prospects of China’s Outward Foreign Direct Investments”, with Ilan Alon and Jian Zhang, 2011

Work in Progress:

“Exchange Rates and Survey Expectations”, with Onur Ince, 2010

“What Do Professional Exchange Rate Forecasters Forecast?”, 2011

“Testing Uncovered Interest Rate Parity Using Survey Based Expectations”, with Levent Bulut, 2010

Teaching

Spring 2011: Economic Forecasting (ECON 422), Independent Study (Financial Crisis of 2007-2009)

Fall 2010: Econometrics (ECON 420) and International Finance (ECON 432)

Professional Affiliations

I am affiliated with American Economic Association, Econometric Society, Committee on the Status of Women in the Economics Profession, Euro Area Business Cycle Network, International Institute of Forecasters, and Southern Economic Association