Final Results

    Obama

    McCain

Predicted Electoral Vote

364

174

Actual Election Outcome

365

173

                State-by-state comparison of predictions to actual outcomes

CO | FL | IA | IN | MI | MN | MO | MT | ND | NH | NV | NM | NC | OH | PA | VA | WI | WV

Obama share of combined Obama-McCain vote                                         Probability that Obama wins state

Colorado (9 EV)

Florida (27 EV)

Indiana (11 EV)

Missouri (11 EV)

Montana (3 EV)

Nevada (5 EV)

New Mexico (5 EV)

North Carolina (15 EV)

North Dakota (3 EV)

Ohio (20 EV)

Virginia (13 EV)

West Virginia (5 EV)

New Hampshire (4 EV)

Iowa (7 EV)

Michigan (17 EV)

Minnesota (10 EV)

Pennsylvania (21 EV)

Wisconsin (10 EV)